Free Picks: Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills

Kevin Luna
By: Kevin Luna
12/19/2020
NFL Free Picks - Best Bets of the Week
Bills at Broncos NFL Week 15
Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills, NFL, Empower Field at Mile High

Drew Lock is coming off his best game of the year and will try to keep the momentum swinging in the Broncos’ favour, but it’s a daunting task to accomplish against the Buffalo Bills, who are looking like a legitimate Super Bowl contender. 888sport has the Bills as -6.5 road favourites.

Bills at Mile High, tough test

Let me just start this preview by saying that the Denver Broncos are not a good football team, but I was wrong in last week’s preview when I predicted that their game against the Carolina Panthers would end up being low scoring.  Drew Lock ended up having the game of his life, as he threw four passing touchdowns.

Now, anything is possible, but we must not forget that Drew Lock has been mediocre all year apart from that game.  The Buffalo Bills are a fantastic team and should easily take care of these pesky Broncos, but it’s well-documented how difficult playing in Denver is.

Denver is 5-1 SU in their last six games at home against Buffalo, and the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver’s last 7 games at home.

The Bills performed admirably last week as they handed the Pittsburgh Steelers their second consecutive loss.  Josh Allen had a good game where he threw for two touchdowns, and he’s developed a special connection with Stefon Diggs, who looked out-of-sorts in Minnesota last year.

Still, the Broncos are unpredictable.  I can almost envision the Bills marching into Mile High Stadium and slapping around the Broncos, but I’m more inclined to take the safer bet and bank on the UNDER hitting, which 888sport has set at 50 points (-108).

Sure, the Bills are a high-scoring team, but there isn’t much betting value to be found on their side, and am I really going to trust the Broncos to cover the point spread or make this a high-scoring game?

Honestly, I’m not at all interested in those best. Smash the UNDER, everybody.

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1.91

Stats

  • Denver is 6-4 SU in their last 10 games against Buffalo
  • The UNDER has cashed in 4 of Denver’s last 5 games
  • Buffalo is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Denver
  • The UNDER has cashed in 4 of Buffalo’s last 5 games against an AFC opponent

Kevin Luna is passionate about sports and specializes in the NBA and NFL. He provides useful information for online sports bettors, and casual fans looking for quality content. Although he lives in Toronto, he's more of a Celtics guy than a Raptors fan, but he still roots for the home team too

NFC Standings

TeamWLPCT
1Packers1340.765
2Buccaneers1340.765
3Cowboys1250.706
4Rams1250.706
5Cardinals1160.647
649ers1070.588
7Eagles980.529
8Saints980.529

 

AFC Standings

TeamWLPCT
1Titans1250.706
2Chiefs1250.706
3Bill1160.647
4Bengals1070.588
5Patriots1070.588
6Chargers970.563
7Raiders970.563
8Steelers970.559

Key Dates

2021-22 Season
Training camps beginJuly 27
Preseason debutAugust 12
Regular season beginsSeptember 9
Trading deadlineNovember 2
Regular season endsJanuary 9
Wild CardJanuary 15
Divisional RoundJanuary 22
Conference ChampionshipJanuary 30
Pro BowlFebruary 6
Super BowlFebruary 13