Last Update: 05/16/22

EPLThe English Premier League sees a collection of Sunday marquee match-ups.  Expect nothing, but the best action during the final match day of the EPL season, as this fantastic season comes to a close. Over the past twenty-five matchdays we are 52-72-10 and up +9.02 units. These EPL free picks will highlight some of the best matches of Matchday #38.

Arsenal vs Everton

Sunday May 22nd @ 11:00am ET, Emirates Stadium

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The Gunners are likely locked into 5th place in the EPL table, the only way they could advance themselves would be with a win and a Tottenham loss. Arsenal will not be as desperate as Everton. The Evertonians are 16th and could have their spot in next season’s Premier League locked up by Sunday’s match. But, whether they do or not, Everton will play their tails off against Arsenal. Who are coming off a loss to Newcastle United and are all but finished with their season. Everton have won or drawn in 5 of their last 7 matches. Playing their absolute best football of the season, Everton shall prevail.

Pick: Double Chance: Everton Win/Draw (+150)

Brentford vs Leeds United

Sunday May 22nd @ 11:00am ET, Brentford Community Stadium

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Before their recent spell of poor form, Leeds had won three of four matches. Now Leeds needs some help and will likely need a win on Sunday to ensure their safety in next season’s Premier League. How can they do it? Turning their match into a track meet. Six of Leeds’ eight victories have come in matches where there were 3 goals or more. Accordingly let us take an ambitious stab at Leeds to win combined with over 2.5 goals, which nets us odds around +300 and grabs us another horse in an exciting relegation battle. 

Pick: Leeds To Win/Over 2.5 Goals (+310)

Crystal Palace vs Manchester United

Sunday May 22nd @ 11:00am ET, Selhurst Park

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The Eagles have had a successful season, but could put the cherry on top by achieving a win over Manchester United. If you sort by losses, Crystal Palace actually have the 4th least losses in the Premiership this season. They have simply struggled to close out matches, however 6 of their 10 wins have come at home. With Manchester United looking incredibly to move on from this season, I expect them to come out flat against Patrick Viera’s side. Additionally, 7 of their 10 wins have come to nil, the oddsmakers have gifted us with great value on this line and we are going to cash in.

Pick: Crystal Palace To Win To Nil (+490)

Liverpool vs Wolverhampton Wanderers

Sunday May 22nd @ 11:00am ET, Anfield

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The Reds need a lot of help to win the EPL title and all of that help will only be useful if they can best the Wolves. Wolverhampton was unable to secure their spot in Europa League, they will miss out on the extra football, but they can play spoiler against Liverpool. While I do not see them beating Liverpool, I do see them scoring. The Wolves have nothing to lose and will play loose, they are winless in their last six matches, but have scored in three straight matches. Liverpool may need help in the goal differential department too, accordingly they will be trying to score at a high rate, which could open them up to a counterattack. 

Pick: Liverpool To Win/BTTS Yes (+185)

Manchester City vs Aston Villa

Sunday May 22nd @ 11:00am ET, The Etihad

BetPicks Best Bets

The Citizens should have the Premiership locked up. As long as City wins against Villa, they will win the title. Throughout this season we have constantly bet on Manchester City to win to nil, because the value has always been there. Unbelievably, once again there is value in Manchester City to win with a clean sheet. 19 of Manchester City’s 28 victories have come with a clean sheet, as long as you are betting on City to win you may as well bet on them to win to nil. The Citizens’ odds are at nearly even money to record a clean sheet/win in a match they need to win, that feels great and impossible to pass up.

Pick: Manchester City To Win To Nil (-111)

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Full capacity crowds are back in the English Premier League, and we have a true four-horse race for the top spot this year. The beautiful game is the most played sport in the world and the EPL is the sport’s biggest draw. Here at BetPicks, we’re dedicated to providing you with expert picks, free picks, and best bets for the day throughout the EPL campaign.

2022 EPL Picks and Predictions

The EPL is not only the most lucrative and most-watched soccer league on the planet, but it’s also the one that attracts the most betting, and for good reason. The reason the league is so popular is that it features many of the best players in the world, but also, and possibly, more importantly, it is the league with the most parity.

Sure, Manchester City has won three of the past four titles and is the favorite again this season, but last year they only narrowly bested Manchester United. Liverpool is always dangerous as well, and Chelsea’s moves in the transfer window have put them squarely in the title conversation too. We’re in for a wild ride.

While those four teams are always pretty safe bets unless they’re playing each other, the other 16 teams in the league are a crapshoot. Obviously, there are tiers, but EPL free picks and parlays are so much better than others because the possibility for an upset is always realistic.

We’ll be making EPL expert picks and EPL predictions every week until a champion is crowned in May 2022. We’ll also be providing you with regular free EPL picks, and with the talent influx into the league this year it promises to not only be fun to bet on but a hoot to watch as well.

What Makes A Great EPL Free Pick?

Premier League predictions can be tough, so it’s important to find yourself the match and market that will provide you with the best chance to win or the best overall value.

While you would probably win a lot of bets if you bet on Manchester City every week, the value would not be great so you wouldn’t be coming away with much winnings.

What you want to do is follow several different betting sites and track their odds each week and when you see that a team or player you like now has more reasonable and lucrative odds, you pull the trigger and make a bet.

Keeping yourself abreast of any league news can also be a huge help. For example, if a key player is revealed to be unavailable, you can sometimes bet on the other side before the sportsbooks are any the wiser. The return of capacity raucous crowds will also give home teams the advantage they missed during last season’s COVID-affected season.

How do We Come Up With Our EPL Free Picks?

We’re watching as much EPL action as we can every weekend and making notes of different matchups that could prove to be value plays in the future.

We keep ourselves up to date on the latest roster news for each and every game we intend to bet on and ingest as many stats as we can. The EPL has also recently come out with a bevy of newer, more advanced stats to help with predictive analysis.

If you’re looking for EPL expert picks, where better to go than here at BetPicks.

What EPL Free Picks Do We Offer at BetPicks?

Before you dive into the wild and wacky world of EPL betting, you should get to know some of the main markets that you’ll be able to bet on. These are also the same markets that we’ll focus on with the majority of our picks and predictions:

  • Full-Time Result: Probably the most common wager when it comes to top picks, here a bettor is simply putting money on whether Team A or Team B wins or it ends in a draw. Because of that third option—the draw—odds for this market are far better than in any other sport. However, beware that if a game is part of a tournament and requires extra time, whatever the score was at the end of 90 minutes will be the result of your full-time bet.
  • Handicaps: Much like point-spread betting in other sports, this is a type of bet where you bet on how many goals a team will lose or win by. For example, if you take Team A with a -1 handicap, you win your bet if they win by more than one goal.
  • Totals: This is a type of wager where the bettor tries to predict how many goals will be scored in any given match.
  • Double Chance: As we mentioned, the possibility and regularity of draws make soccer a unique sport to bet on. A double chance bet is when you bet on two different outcomes in one market. You can bet on Team A or Team B to win, Team A to win or Draw, or Team B to win or draw. This is a great way to reduce risk when betting on an underdog.
  • Correct Score: This one’s pretty straightforward: as the name suggests, a bettor will put a wager on what the exact final score of a given game will be. This is a tough one to get right, but because of that, this market often offers great odds, even for in-game bets.
  • Futures: These are long-term bets where you try to predict where a team will finish in the table, how many points a given team will earn, how many goals a player will score, and other such eventualities. It’s a little late for futures for this current season, but you can probably still find a few good ones.
  • Player Props: With this type of bet, you’re wagering on whether a player will complete a given action during a game, the most common of which is to score a goal or to be booked.

How to Choose the Best EPL Free Picks For Me?

It’s important to consider your overall betting goals before getting into any serious wagers. Are you going to be a regular bettor that looks to build up their winnings a little at a time? Or are you more interested in following the season until you find a sure thing that you want to win big on?

If you want to bet on a weekly basis and not become overwhelmed when you lose a couple in a row, it’s good to create yourself a betting budget before the season. Using between one and five percent of that bankroll on each bet will keep you in check.

Those looking to win big on one value play would do well to stay tuned to the comings and goings in the league so that they can pinpoint when their time to strike will be.

EPL Betting Strategies

There have been hundreds of bettors who have come up with thousands of supposed fool-proof strategies to guarantee EPL betting success. Most of these have been proven to be more luck than strategy, but there are a few tried and true strategies that we continue to lean on for our free picks and predictions.

Know The High And Low Scorers In The League → Keeping yourself up to date not just on the table but on the goal-scoring records of each team in the league is always smart. Following those stats really helps us with our EPL free picks because using those numbers you can identify a particularly high- or low-scoring match on which you can make a lucrative totals bet.

The Handicap Is There For A Reason → So you might as well use it! If you’ve got a heavy favorite such as Chelsea or Man City that you just know is going to dust their opponents, using the handicap wager is a good way to find nice value even on a big-time favorite. If you like a favorite but their full-time odds are so low that it makes a bet useless, check out their handicap, you’ll usually find much more reasonable odds.

Pay Attention To The Schedule → One thing that helps us make our BetPicks free picks is to take notice of which teams are playing at midweek and which aren’t. League games, domestic cup games, European competition games. This doesn’t become as lucrative a strategy until some teams start being eliminated from midweek competitions, but if you get a home underdog who didn’t play at midweek taking on an away favorite that did play at midweek, reasonably speaking, you’ve found yourself some great value.

EPL Schedule 2021-2022

After a strange schedule last season due to COVID, the EPL is back to regularly scheduled programming with full stadiums of fans for the 2021-2022 season.

We’ve got a regular 38-game EPL schedule on the docket, with each of the 20 teams playing home and away against every other team in the league. Midweek Carabao Cup and FA Cup fixtures will be played sporadically by all teams throughout the campaign as well.

For those that earned it, there are also the Europa Conference League, Europa League, and Champions League, which also play their games midweek throughout the season. All competitions end around the same time in late Spring, and you will be getting BetPicks predictions as well as free picks and parlays from us right up until the final whistle.

EPL 2022 Teams

After an insane summer transfer window that saw the EPL’s 20 teams combine to spend 1 billion in transfer fees on over 100 new signings, we’re surely in for an exciting campaign.

Up-and-coming teams like Aston Villa, Everton, and West Ham United will look to continue their ascendancy into the European positions while North London rivals Arsenal and Tottenham both continue to attempt to emerge from the ruts they’ve been in for what seems like an eternity. Youthful Arsenal could surprise people this season.

But it’s really at the top of the table where the big-time excitement is. Defending champions Man City bought Jack Grealish for 100 million pounds but failed to land Tottenham’s Harry Kane after a dramatic saga, and Chelsea picked up goal-machine Romelu Lukaku, who is already making a huge impression in his second stint at Stamford Bridge.

Meanwhile, Liverpool remains a very potent side with the likes of Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mane roaming the wings, and they got back the spine of their team, center back Virgil Van Dijk, after a lengthy absence. Perhaps the most exciting development, however, was the return of Cristiano Ronaldo to Man United, where he will try to bring back the glory of his early days at Old Trafford.

Our EPL Experts

Alex Murray

Alex MurrayAlex is a longtime sports and sports betting writer who specializes in the NFL, NBA, UFC, and EPL. He has written picks, predictions, recaps, analysis, updates, and news for a variety of sports publications from theScore, to FantasyPros, to right here at BetPicks.ca.

Alex is a lifelong fan of the beautiful game, a love of the sport that has engendered a voracious appetite for consuming soccer—especially in the EPL—and all of the stats and analysis that accompany it.

During this past summer’s Euro Championships, Alex nailed a big-time six-way group winner wager and will be looking to parlay that success into the EPL season. Mr. Murray is doing the EPL research so you don’t have to.

Josh Saslove

Josh SasloveJosh is a passionate sports fan and have been consumed by sports for as long as he can remember. He has been a sports bettor for the past 4 years, starting out with betting on college basketball parlays.

Other than following the EPl and other big Soccer leagues, Josh is a huge fan of the Ottawa Senators, Toronto Raptors, Kansas City Chiefs and Toronto Blue Jays, so he knows what it’s like to cheer for the underdog.

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