Buccaneers vs Chiefs: Super Bowl LIV Free Picks

Kevin Luna
By: Kevin Luna
02/07/2021
NFL Free Picks - Best Bets of the Week
Buccaneers vs Chiefs NFL Super Bowl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs, NFL, Raymond James Stadium

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have the distinction of being the first team in NFL history to host the big game.  They’re also the designated home team, but they’re still underdogs.  888sport lists the Kansas City Chiefs as -167 favorites on the moneyline.  Can the reigning champions defend their title against future Hall of Famer Tom Brady and the rest of the Buccaneers?

The master or the student?

We all know the deal with Tom Brady.  Somehow at 43 years old, he’s found his way to the big game for a record 10th time, and he’s looking to add a seventh ring to his collection, but his team is the underdog at +138 (888sport).

The Kansas City Chiefs are looking to become the first team since 2005 to hoist the Vince Lombardi trophy for a second consecutive year.  888sport’s Super Bowl odds favor the Chiefs by -3 at -118, but NFL predictions and expert picks say go with the Buccaneers on the upset.

The Buccaneers are on fire and were able to beat the likes of Aaron Rodgers and Drew Brees as an NFC Wil Card to make it to this year’s Super Bowl.  Their defense was outstanding against the Green Bay Packers and the New Orleans, which is ultimately what this game will come down to.  The Buccaneers have tons of offensive firepower, but if their defense doesn’t make big plays, they’ll struggle to keep up with the Chiefs and their high-octane offense.

Patrick Mahomes doesn’t make many mistakes, and the Chiefs rank fifth in turnovers, totaling just 16 on the season so far.  Unfortunately, the Chiefs will be without LT Eric Fisher, which doesn’t bode well for Mahomes.  The Buccaneers’ pass rush was sensational in the NFC Championship game as they sacked Aaron Rodgers five times.

I’ve bet against the Buccaneers in every game they’ve played in these playoffs, but I’m not going to do it here.  The Kansas City Chiefs are the best team in the NFL but, 888sport offers +138 for the Buccaneers on the moneyline, and I’m going to take it for a couple of reasons.

They’re lucky they’re playing the Super Bowl at home, and their defense has been incredible lately.  Barring any hiccups, I think Tom Brady does enough to propel them to victory.

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FREE PICK: BUCCANEERS TO WIN
+138

Stats

  • Tampa Bay is 4-1 in their last 5 games
  • Tampa Bay is 7-0 in their last 7 games
  • Kansas City is 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games
  • Kansas City is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Tampa Bay

Kevin Luna is passionate about sports and specializes in the NBA and NFL. He provides useful information for online sports bettors, and casual fans looking for quality content. Although he lives in Toronto, he's more of a Celtics guy than a Raptors fan, but he still roots for the home team too

NFC Standings

TeamWLPCT
1Packers1340.765
2Buccaneers1340.765
3Cowboys1250.706
4Rams1250.706
5Cardinals1160.647
649ers1070.588
7Eagles980.529
8Saints980.529

 

AFC Standings

TeamWLPCT
1Titans1250.706
2Chiefs1250.706
3Bill1160.647
4Bengals1070.588
5Patriots1070.588
6Chargers970.563
7Raiders970.563
8Steelers970.559

Key Dates

2021-22 Season
Training camps beginJuly 27
Preseason debutAugust 12
Regular season beginsSeptember 9
Trading deadlineNovember 2
Regular season endsJanuary 9
Wild CardJanuary 15
Divisional RoundJanuary 22
Conference ChampionshipJanuary 30
Pro BowlFebruary 6
Super BowlFebruary 13