Tampa Bay vs. Kansas City. Bucs vs. Chiefs. Brady vs. Mahomes. GOAT vs. Best In The Game Today. The stakes are high for Super Bowl 55, so why not get a little skin in the game for yourself? Betpicks.ca has you covered on Super Sunday with our best (and FREE) picks and parlays, from moneylines to totals to player props. Whether you’re a safe bettor or someone who likes to go big or go home, we’ve got something that will tickle your fancy.
Super Bowl 2021 Best Parlays
Kansas City Chiefs to Win Match
The Buccaneers’ performance against the potent Green Bay Packers offense in the NFC Championship was pretty impressive, but that game was played in frigid Lambeau Field, and Super Bowl 55 will be played in sunny and warm Tampa Bay. Not to mention that Robert Tonyan doesn’t hold a candle to Travis Kelce at tight end and the speed on the outside for K.C. is unmatched in the league. An arsenal like the Chiefs have and a gunman like Patrick Mahomes gives them pretty darn good odds to win the Super Bowl, which is why while there isn’t much value in this pick, it’s a pretty safe wager.
Andy Reid is arguably the best play-caller there’s ever been, and he’s relaying those plays to Patrick Mahomes, who will go down as the GOAT when all is said and done. But to get to that status, he’ll first need to take down the current GOAT, Tom Brady, and his Bucs, who will be the first team to ever play in a Super Bowl at their home stadium. The Chiefs could care less about home field advantage, and while Brady will manage to keep it close, K.C. just has too many horses for Tampa Bay to keep up with: the Mahomian era has begun in the NFL.
Alternate Game Total Points Over 53.0
As you may have noticed, we took Kansas City’s moneyline instead of their point spread because we’re looking to stay safe on this first parlay here. In that vein, we’re going to take a slight step down from the posted total of 56.5 and go with a more palatable 53.0 point-total as the second leg of this double parlay.
We know that both of these teams can put up big numbers on offense, but it stands to reason that the defenses will be a slightly more keyed in than normal with two weeks to prepare. We’re still talking about Brady vs. Mahomes here, though, so the under was out of the question. Shaving a field goal off the total gives us a much safer number and allows us to have more confidence in sticking with the over.
Over 6.5 Total Combined Touchdowns
In the first meeting of these teams during the regular season they scored six touchdowns between them, but with this shaping up to be a quarterback duel much closer to what we got after the 2017 season than the snooze fest we got at the culmination of the 2018 and 2019 seasons, we’d expect there to be more fireworks on tis Super Sunday.
The Buccaneers are a decent defense, but they’re nothing like the units that carried the San Francisco 49ers to the Super Bowl last year or the ones that clashed the year before that in the dullest Super Bowl of all time (won by Brady and his Patriots). Both signal callers will need to be in top form to beat their counterpart, so expect some stellar quarterback play ergo, a lot of touchdowns.
Tyreek Hill to Score 2+ Touchdowns
We all remember how the speed demon Tyreek Hill did the Buccaneers defense in the regular season, setting them ablaze for 269 yards and three touchdowns. We’re not expecting an exact replication this time around, but unless Tampa Bay went and picked up an Olympic track star in the interim, Hill should still be able to take the top off the defense once or twice on Super Sunday.
Kansas City Chiefs to Score Over 26.5 Points
Can you see the pattern forming in this treble parlay? When you’re parlay betting, it doesn’t matter if you get two and miss one, you have to get all three to win, so why not make three choices that are all conducive to the same outcome for the game?
Basically, for this parlay to hit, we’ll have to see a big-time offensive performance from the Chiefs, which is not exactly a tall order considering the talent and skill they’ve got on that side of the ball. They scored 27 last time they came up against this Buccaneers defense, and we’d expect them to match or surpass that total in their chase for their second straight Lombardi Trophy.
Patrick Mahomes to Throw 3+ Touchdowns
Now, for those looking for a go big or go home parlay, this is where you want to be. In the first of our top picks making up our five-way accumulator, we’ve got Mahomes to toss at least three touchdowns. The Texas Tech product has thrown 3+ touchdowns in three of his past five playoff games, and he also threw a trio of tuddys against the Bucs earlier this season. We’re expecting the Chiefs to score four or five times, so three through the air doesn’t seem like a big ask.
Tyreek Hill Over 105 Receiving Yards
Tampa Bay clearly had no answer for the speed demon last time around, and while we do expect them to scheme more towards stopping Hill, there’s only so much you can do against flat out speed like he has. He had 269 yards last time he went against that secondary, so about a third of that seems quite reasonable in the big game. Hill’s got 105+ yards in his past three straight postseason games, including 105 in last year’s Super Bowl against a much stingier Niners defense.
Travis Kelce Over 7+ Receptions
Kansas City’s tight end has been on a run unlike any other this season, having snagged seven or more balls in 10 straight contests, a stretch that goes back to late October. While Kelce is someone we’re a bit worried about for the big day because of how athletic and fast Tampa Bay’s linebackers LaVonte David and Devin Smith are, we still think Andy the Walrus will be looking to get Kelce the ball early and often, making his receptions prop is a much safer pick than his yards prop.
Mike Evans to Score Anytime
Mike Evans has been a veritable one-trick pony for the Bucs this season: he scored in 12 of 19 games. In three of those games, Evans’ only grabs went for touchdowns, including their divisional round win over the New Orleans Saints a few weeks ago when he caught one pass for one TD. The big wideout is clearly the number one red zone option ahead of Rob Gronkowski, and with a mediocre Chiefs defense, you can expect several red zone opportunities for Tampa. If he does nothing else on Super Sunday, expect Evans to find pay-dirt.
Chris Godwin Over 75 Receiving Yards
As we were just saying, Evans doesn’t do anything but score. Once the Bucs get inside the 20 yard-line, it’s Evans time, but everywhere else it’s been Chris Godwin getting the lion’s share of the work. With Antonio Brown doubtful for the game, expect Chris Godwin to get a similar diet of looks as he got at Lambeau: five catches, nine targets, 110 yards. These five five picks, which all seem pretty reasonable, could all very well hit at enormous +975 parlay odds if a shootout materialises at the Super Bowl, so let’s hope for a high-scorer on February 7th!
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Alex is an alumnus of Ryerson University's RTA Sport Media program, a contributing NHL, NBA, and MLB writer in the BetPicks.ca team. He has been writing on sports, betting, and fantasy contests for several years, including pitstops as an NFL Editor for theScore and as one of the lead NBA news writers for fantasy sports site FantasyPros. As a lifelong athlete, bettor, and sports fan, Alex is uniquely qualified to help you reach the sports betting success that you've always dreamed of and your wife never believed you could achieve.
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