Free Picks: Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants

Reds vs Giants Week 3
Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants, MLB, Oracle Park

The Cincinnati Reds (7-3) do battle with the San Francisco Giants (6-4) in a matchup of teams that are off to somewhat surprisingly good starts. Cincinnati sustained its first series loss of the season this past weekend at Arizona, while the Giants just swept the Rockies in their home-opening series to forge a four-game winning streak. Since 2018, the Reds have taken seven of the past 10 against the Giants — including four of seven in 2019.

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The tired cliché is that revenge is a dish best served cold; but for Giants right-hander Kevin Gausman, it might be best served from a pitcher’s mound on a mild evening in the Bay Area. Gausman, who was not tendered a contract by the Reds two winters ago, will face his old team for the first time since on Tuesday night in an inter-division National League matchup.

The Reds certainly could’ve used Gausman last year, as he pitched to a 3.62 ERA in 12 outings (10 starts) as one of the most reliable arms in San Francisco’s stable. He’s off to an impressive start so far this season as well, with a 1.32 ERA over two starts, which includes 11 strikeouts and just seven hits allowed in 13 2/3 innings.

In this game, the Reds and Giants are given equal value of -110 on the money line (888sport) in the latest MLB odds. Among the run line options is Cincinnati at +1.5 runs, which yields a -227 value (888sport).

Gausman might be catching the Reds at the right time, as Cincinnati’s offense has cooled a bit after a historically excellent start. Through its first seven games, Cincinnati scored 63 runs (nine per game), which was tied for third-most among active franchises since 1900. They were also the only team to score at least five runs in each of their first seven games. But since then, the Reds have scored just six runs in their past three games, losing two of three. Hitters have their ups and downs, and the Reds appear at risk of trending down at the moment.

Well, perhaps just on the offensive side of things. Such is not the case for Luis Castillo, their Tuesday starter, who is coming off a scoreless, seven-inning win against the Pirates in his most recent start. In three career starts against the Giants — albeit none since 2019 — Castillo is 2-0 with a 2.29 ERA.

Even with the offense on a bit of a cool streak, Cincinnati found a way to beat San Francisco on Monday night, 3-0. In this BetPicks prediction, we like their chances to do so again on Tuesday, though Gausman and Castillo should have the makings for a pitcher’s duel. Find the under on the run total when it becomes available (especially given that the under has hit eight times in a row for San Francisco).

Stats

  • Cincinnati is 7-3 on the money line in its past 10
  • The OVER has cashed in seven of the Reds’ past 10 games
  • San Francisco is 6-4 on the money line in its past 10
  • The UNDER has cashed in eight of the Giants’ past eight games

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Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Week 18

Free Picks: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks

The Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks begin a three-game series at Chase Field on Friday, July 30 at 9:40 p.m. ET, with Los Angeles’s Tony Gonsolin expected to face Arizona’s Zac Gallen.

The Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks begin a three-game series at Chase Field on Friday, July 30 at 9:40 p.m. ET, with Los Angeles’s Tony Gonsolin expected to face Arizona’s Zac Gallen.

Astros vs Giants Week 18

Free Picks: Houston Astros vs San Francisco Giants

The Houston Astros and San Francisco Giants open up a three-game series at Oracle Park on Friday, July 30 at 9:45 p.m. ET, with Houston’s Framber Valdez expected to face San Francisco’s Kevin Gausman.

The Houston Astros and San Francisco Giants open up a three-game series at Oracle Park on Friday, July 30 at 9:45 p.m. ET, with Houston’s Framber Valdez expected to face San Francisco’s Kevin Gausman.

Athletics vs Padres Week 18

Free Picks: Oakland Athletics vs. San Diego Padres

Oakland looks to bounce back on Wednesday as they try to take down the Padres. Can the Athletics exact revenge against their West Coast rival?

Oakland looks to bounce back on Wednesday as they try to take down the Padres. Can the Athletics exact revenge against their West Coast rival?

Yankees vs Rays Week 18

Free Picks: New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays

The New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays open up a three-game series at Tropicana Field on Tuesday, July 27 at 7:10 p.m. ET, with New York’s Jordan Montgomery expected to face Tampa Bay’s Shane McClanahan.

The New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays open up a three-game series at Tropicana Field on Tuesday, July 27 at 7:10 p.m. ET, with New York’s Jordan Montgomery expected to face Tampa Bay’s Shane McClanahan.

Jordan Horrobin is a freelance sports journalist based in Toronto, Ontario, who enjoys sports-related research and telling engaging stories. His work can also be found at Sportsnet, Forbes and elsewhere. Though he abandoned most of his team-specific fandoms in the interest of unbiased analysis, Jordan roots hard for his fantasy football/hockey teams (and he's a complete homer for all things Ohio University). You can follow Jordan on Twitter at @JordanHorrobin

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