Free Picks: Oakland Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners

Athletics vs Mariners Week 17
Oakland Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners, MLB, T-Mobile Park

The Oakland Athletics (56-43) hold a slim lead over the Seattle Mariners (52-46) in the American League West. Saturday night, the Mariners look to keep rolling against the A’s at home. Entering this game, the ariners have won 6 of their last 10 and have a solid 30-21 record at home this season. Chris Bassitt (10-3, 3.31 ERA) starts for Oakland, while Logan Gilbert (4-2, 3.50 ERA) gets the ball for Seattle.

Can Oakland respond to Seattle?

A 3-run second inning provided 80 percent of Seattle’s offense Friday night, as the Mariners tallied 4 runs en route to a 4-3 victory over the Athletics.  

Saturday evening, the Mariners will look to keep rolling against Oakland. This season, the two clubs have split their 8 games with 4 wins apiece. 

What I love about this game is that both Seattle and Oakland have studs ready to throw. Chris Bassitt gets the ball for Oakland, while Logan Gilbert starts for the hometown M’s.  

Bassitt is 10-3 with a 3.31 ERA, while Gilbert is 4-2 with a 3.50 ERA. With similar statistics and ERAs, that will definitely impact total runs for this MLB prediction. 

With that being said, for this free MLB pick, I want to focus on Seattle’s total runs. 

The Mariners are a mediocre team on offense, but there are a few statistics that make me believe Seattle can do damage on Saturday. Away from Friday’s victory, Seattle has seen a ton of high-scoring games against the Athletics this season. 

In 8 games head-to-head, the Mariners have averaged 3.5 runs per game. That includes a game in which they scored 0 runs in a loss. Overall, Seattle has had no issue scoring against Oakland this season. 

Of course, Bassitt is a demon on the mound. But he still owns an ERA of 3.31. This means, if Bassitt pitches to his average, the Mariners will score at least 3 runs. 

Since July 16, the Mainers have had no trouble scoring. They tallied 6 runs against the Angles and 6 runs against the Rockies, to highlight some of their recent offensive performances. 

I’ll admit, the Mariners aren’t a terrorizing team at the dish, but I think they have enough juice to hit the over in team total runs.

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FREE PICK: Seattle Mariners Total Runs OVER 3.5
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Stats

  • Seattle averages 4.11 runs per game this season.
  • The Mariners average 3.80 runs per game at home. 
  • Oakland allows 3.73 runs against on the road. 
  • Bassitt has allowed 10 earned runs in last 3 starts.
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MLB - AL East

TeamWLGB%
NY Yankee61250.0.709
Boston474014.5.540
Tampa Bay464015.0.535
Toronto454216.5.517
Baltimore434418.5.494

 

MLB - AL Central

TeamWLGB%
Minnesota48400.0.545
Cleveland42424.0.500
Chi White Sox41445.5.482
Detroit365111.5.414
Kansas City345213.0.395

 

MLB - AL West

TeamWLGB%
Houston56290.0.659
Seattle454212.0.517
Texas404415.5.476
LA Angels384919.0.437
Oakland295928.5.330

 

MLB - NL East

TeamWLGB%
NY Mets54330.0.621
Atlanta52362.5.591
Philadelphia46418.0.529
Miami414412.0.482
Washington305824.5.341

 

MLB - NL Central

TeamWLGB%
Milwaukee48390.0.552
St. Louis47422.0.528
Pittsburgh375011.0.425
Chi Cubs345213.5.395
Cincinnati325415.5.372

 

MLB - NL West

TeamWLGB%
LA Dodgers56290.0.659
San Diego50387.5.568
San Francisco434112.5.512
Arizona384818.5.442
Colorado384919.0.437

 

2021 Season Key Dates
Regular SeasonApril 1 – October 3
MLB DraftJuly 11-13
All-Star GameJuly 13
Trade DeadlineJuly 30
Playoffs BeginOctober 5
World SeriesOctober 26