Free Picks: Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Astros vs Rays Week 5
Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays, MLB, Tropicana Field

Bitten by bad luck, I take a look at which team has the potential to win straight up in this game. Houston and Tampa Bay are even in several stats, so small intricacies were the difference-maker for this wager. Will I cash out with the underdog, or should I play it safe and take the favourite?

When everything is even, do you take the underdog?

Entering this afternoon game between the Astros and Rays, Houston and Tampa Bay are relatively even in several statistics. With that knowledge, it certainly impacts this MLB prediction

Starting with record, the Rays and Astros are even in that regard. With that being said, Houston has a good advantage over the Rays in team hits. All in all, there isn’t much to differentiate between the Rays and Astros. 

However, one thing that can dramatically impact not only MLB regular season odds, but my BetPicks Predictions is the starting pitching matchup. Between the Rays’ and Astros’ projected starters, I think one team has a slight advantage. 

Lefty-pitcher Josh Fleming is 1-2 on the season, but has a 1.23 ERA and 8 strikeouts. Fleming has been excellent this season, despite what his record shows. Fleming’s ERA could drastically change the outcome of this game.  

Opposite of Fleming is RHP Jose Urquidy. This season, he has a 4.67 ERA with 22 strikeouts on the year. Houston is 2-3 when Urquidy is on the mound, so that could greatly impact the Moneyline. 

I think Fleming’s pitching record, coupled with the Rays’ odds provide great value for a potential steal. The Rays are considered underdogs in this one, so I think we could see great return with a Tampa Bay victory. 

What gives me confidence in a potential underdog victory is that the Astros have been streaky this season. They have also taken L’s to some pretty bad competition. Houston took losses to the Detroit Tigers on consecutive nights, so the Rays should be able to take a victory at home. 

Pitching is the ultimate equalizer. With Fleming on the bump, I think his talent will be enough to take a victory from the visiting Astros. Houston and Tampa Bay are relatively even, so I think we have to with the value in this

Stats

  • The Rays are 6-5 as the underdog this season. 
  • Tampa Bay are 8-2 in last 10 against Houston at home. 
  • Houston are 10-11 as the favourites this season.
  • The Astros are 2-4 in last 6 games on the road.

More MLB Free PicksSee more

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Week 18

Free Picks: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks

The Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks begin a three-game series at Chase Field on Friday, July 30 at 9:40 p.m. ET, with Los Angeles’s Tony Gonsolin expected to face Arizona’s Zac Gallen.

The Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks begin a three-game series at Chase Field on Friday, July 30 at 9:40 p.m. ET, with Los Angeles’s Tony Gonsolin expected to face Arizona’s Zac Gallen.

Astros vs Giants Week 18

Free Picks: Houston Astros vs San Francisco Giants

The Houston Astros and San Francisco Giants open up a three-game series at Oracle Park on Friday, July 30 at 9:45 p.m. ET, with Houston’s Framber Valdez expected to face San Francisco’s Kevin Gausman.

The Houston Astros and San Francisco Giants open up a three-game series at Oracle Park on Friday, July 30 at 9:45 p.m. ET, with Houston’s Framber Valdez expected to face San Francisco’s Kevin Gausman.

Athletics vs Padres Week 18

Free Picks: Oakland Athletics vs. San Diego Padres

Oakland looks to bounce back on Wednesday as they try to take down the Padres. Can the Athletics exact revenge against their West Coast rival?

Oakland looks to bounce back on Wednesday as they try to take down the Padres. Can the Athletics exact revenge against their West Coast rival?

Yankees vs Rays Week 18

Free Picks: New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays

The New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays open up a three-game series at Tropicana Field on Tuesday, July 27 at 7:10 p.m. ET, with New York’s Jordan Montgomery expected to face Tampa Bay’s Shane McClanahan.

The New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays open up a three-game series at Tropicana Field on Tuesday, July 27 at 7:10 p.m. ET, with New York’s Jordan Montgomery expected to face Tampa Bay’s Shane McClanahan.

have always wanted to be a writer and sports are my favorite thing in the world, so I combined the two to make a career. I have been a long-time gambler and sports betting writer that isn't afraid to look at the underdog or specials. I am covering the NHL, MLB and NCAA Football for BetPicks.ca and am a huge fan of both sports - as well as many others. Follow me on Twitter @Patrick_Trudeau so we can talk betting, sports, or why ketchup DOES belong on Poutine.

All Reviews by Patrick Trudeau

BACK TO TOP