Free Picks: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Dallas Mavericks

Bucks vs Mavericks NBA
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Dallas Mavericks, NBA, Fiserv Forum

Luka Doncic will lead his 6-4 Dallas Mavericks up to Wisconsin to take on the 8-4 Milwaukee Bucks in a Friday night showdown at the Fiserv Forum. Both of these teams are coming into this tilt scorching hot, with the Mavericks riding a four-game winning streak and the Bucks having triumphed in six of their past seven games. Despite that strong recent run for the Bucks, the Mavericks are definitely the more attractive betting option right now, however.

Luka And Mavs To Put Up A Good Fight In Milwaukee (Season Betting Record: 13-15)

Though these teams are both coming into this game on a great run of form, the Mavericks are nonetheless significant underdogs, offering value we’re going to take on their +6 point spread at -112 odds on sports betting site 22Bet. The difference between Dallas’ hot streak and Milwaukee’s is that the former’s success on the floor has also translated to success against the spread.

While the Bucks have put up a respectable 4-3 record ATS over their successful stretch of six wins in seven games, the Mavericks have not only won four games on the bounce but they also covered the spread in each contest as well. In fact, Dallas has actually gone 4-2 ATS and straight-up when they enter the game as the betting underdog. Overall this season, Doncic and company have been one of the most reliable teams ATS, boasting a 6-4 mark (t-fourth in the NBA) identical to their straight up record (Milwaukee has 6-6 ATS this year).

Giannis Antetkounmpo and his Bucks have had trouble taming the Mavericks in recent years, covering the spread just once in their past 10 meetings, dating all the way back to 2015. Dallas also won and covered the spread as underdogs in both matchups between these squads last season, including a thrilling overtime triumph in the bubble last August.

Another big reason to feel confident taking that hefty six-point spread for the Mavericks is the recent play of their franchise player, Doncic. The Slovenian in the double sevens has been a man possessed over this current four-game winning streak for the Mavs, pouring in a cool 31.3 points, 10.8 dimes, 12.0 boards, 2.0 swipes, and 1.8 swats per game on 50/37/77 shooting from the field. The 21-year-old MVP frontrunner is having continued issues taking care of the ball, however, as evidenced by his 6.5 turnovers over the same four-game span.

The rest of his game is obviously more than making up for those handful of momentary lapses Doncic has throughout each game, though. If you’re not as confident in the Mavericks as we are, you have to at least admit that Doncic has been on fire. Ergo, we’re going to wager on the young phenom to cover the over on his Points + Rebounds + Assists prop (48.5) at -120 odds (22Bet). Some betting sites may allow you to parlay these choices together for an even higher payday at odds around +250.

Stats

  • Luka Doncic put up 36-19-14 in his last game against Milwaukee
  • Dallas has gone 7-1-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings
  • Dallas is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as underdogs
  • Dallas is 3-0-2 ATS in their past five meetings in Milwaukee

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Alex is an alumnus of Ryerson University's RTA Sport Media program, a contributing NHL, NBA, and MLB writer in the BetPicks.ca team. He has been writing on sports, betting, and fantasy contests for several years, including pitstops as an NFL Editor for theScore and as one of the lead NBA news writers for fantasy sports site FantasyPros. As a lifelong athlete, bettor, and sports fan, Alex is uniquely qualified to help you reach the sports betting success that you've always dreamed of and your wife never believed you could achieve. Follow Alex on Twitter

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