MLB Best Parlays of Week 18

MLB 2021
MLB Week 18

After coming clutch with a Week 17 victory, I look to stay red hot. The Jays are back in Toronto and I think they handle the Royals. Meanwhile, the newest additions to New York should dramatically impact their offense. Finally, can poor defense from the Tigers and Orioles equate to a betting win on total runs?

Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays

July 30th, 7:07 P.M., Rogers Centre

The Toronto Blue Jays are back in Canada and I think there is no better way to celebrate their return than a victory.  

Both Daniel Lynch (KC) and Ross Stripling (TOR) are much to be desired statistically this season. However, Stripling is still the better pitcher with better numbers, so I think the Blue Jays win the starting pitching match-up in this game. 

 As for defense, the Blue Jays are stronger than the Royals in a variety of categories as well. Ranging from Runs/9 to OPS, Toronto has a better offense than Kansas City. 

So, is there anything Kansas City is better at than Toronto? Not really. The biggest discrepancy between these teams (and a major factor in this MLB prediction) is how much better the Blue Jays are in comparison to the Royals on offense. 

Toronto is stellar at the dish. They rank first in OPS and Home Runs and are 2nd in Runs/9 and Batting Average. Toronto swings a hot bat and I don’t think the poor defensive numbers from Kansas City will be able to combat the offensive prowess from Toronto. 

For the first leg of this parlay, let’s bank on a Toronto victory. I am adding the Blue Jays’ Moneyline (-210) to this parlay.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers

July 30th, 7:10 P.M., Comerica Park

One of the most entertaining factors between Baltimore and Detroit is their defense – or lack thereof. Now, if you’re a fan of either the Orioles or Tigers, that isn’t entertaining. However, for a bettor that loves the over, seeing these two defenses go head-to-head is music to my ears. 

The Orioles rank at the bottom or near the bottom in several defensive categories. The ones that stick out are Runs Against Per Game (5.75) and Opponent Batting Average (.269). Detroit’s defense is slightly better than Baltimore’s, but there isn’t really much to brag about if you’re a Tigers’ player. 

What makes me believe this game is destined for the over in total runs is team offense. The Tigers aren’t terrible at the plate. They have decent runs per game (4.61) and are a middle-of-the-pack team in Average and OPS. Detroit’s biggest issue this season has been their pitching and defense. 

The O’s are slightly worse than Detroit when it comes to Offense, but they are far from the worst offensive team in professional baseball. 

I think the combination of the Tigers/Orioles offense versus the Tigers/Orioles defense is enough for me to bet on the over in total runs (9.5. -105) for the second leg of this free MLB parlay. 

New York Yankees at Miami Marlins

July 30th, 7:10 P.M., LoanDepot Park 

The New York Yankees have seemingly become contenders overnight and I am excited to see what they can do to the Miami Marlins.  

Joey Gallo and Anthony Rizzo are now in New York. Gallo is expected to debut on Friday, but Rizzo is expected to join the pinstripes in the starting lineup sometime this weekend. 

In this wager, I want to take a look at the run line. The Yankees have scored only 10 more runs than Miami this season, but the addition of Gallo leads me to believe that the Yankees’ offensive production will jump up rather quickly.  

I like this free MLB pick because of New York’s defense. While the Yankees may struggle on offense, their defensive capabilities are some of the best in baseball. On the opposite end, the Marlins are struggling when not at the plate. 

These teams played each other 3 times in 2020, with only one game being decided by less than 5 runs. Since 2015, 7 of their head-to-head games have been decided by more than 3 runs, which makes me confident that New York can cover on the run line.  

What makes interleague play interesting is that neither team has much time to prepare, so they are essentially in the dark. With New York’s defense and their injection of Gallo into the lineup, I think the Yankees spank the Marlins.  

I am adding the Yankees’ Run Line -1.5 (+111) as the final leg of this parlay.

More MLB Free PicksSee more

White Sox vs Royals Week 19

Free Picks: Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals

The Chicago White Sox and Kansas City Royals continue a three-game series at Guaranteed Rate Field on Wednesday, August 4 at 8:10 p.m. ET, with Chicago’s Lucas Giolito expected to face Kansas City’s Carlos Hernandez.

The Chicago White Sox and Kansas City Royals continue a three-game series at Guaranteed Rate Field on Wednesday, August 4 at 8:10 p.m. ET, with Chicago’s Lucas Giolito expected to face Kansas City’s Carlos Hernandez.

Tigers vs Red Sox Week 19

Free Picks: Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox

The Detroit Tigers and Boston Red Sox continue a three-game set at Yankee Stadium on Wednesday, August 4 at 7:10 p.m. ET, with Detroit’s Casey Mize expected to face Boston’s Eduardo Rodriguez.

The Detroit Tigers and Boston Red Sox continue a three-game set at Yankee Stadium on Wednesday, August 4 at 7:10 p.m. ET, with Detroit’s Casey Mize expected to face Boston’s Eduardo Rodriguez.

Twins vs Reds Week 19

Free Picks: Minnesota Twins vs Cincinnati Reds

The Minnesota Twins and Cincinnati Reds begin a two-game series at Great American Ball Park on Tuesday, August 3 at 7:10 p.m. ET, with Minnesota’s Kenta Maeda expected to face Cincinnati’s Tyler Mahle.

The Minnesota Twins and Cincinnati Reds begin a two-game series at Great American Ball Park on Tuesday, August 3 at 7:10 p.m. ET, with Minnesota’s Kenta Maeda expected to face Cincinnati’s Tyler Mahle.

have always wanted to be a writer and sports are my favorite thing in the world, so I combined the two to make a career. I have been a long-time gambler and sports betting writer that isn't afraid to look at the underdog or specials. I am covering the NHL, MLB and NCAA Football for BetPicks.ca and am a huge fan of both sports - as well as many others. Follow me on Twitter @Patrick_Trudeau so we can talk betting, sports, or why ketchup DOES belong on Poutine.

All Reviews by Patrick Trudeau

BACK TO TOP