We’ve gone a bit cold here after going 1-2 in Week 13, which brought our overall record to 9-8 and our parlay record to 2-4. To get us back on track, we’ve identified three games during NCAA football’s Week 14 slate that we feel will fit right together and get us back in the black. Clemson was the only pick we hit last week, and we’re going to ride with the Tigers again this week at Lane Stadium. We’re also looking for the Red Raiders to take care of business against the Jayhawks, and the Razorbacks and Tigers to have a low-scoring contest in Columbia.
Best NCAA Football Parlay of Week 14
Kansas Jayhawks @ Texas Tech Red Raiders (-27) (-111) (Betway)
December 5th, 12:00pm, Jones AT&T Stadium
The Kansas Jayhawks could very well be the worst team in the top division of NCAA football. They’re not only 0-8 straight up, but they’re also 0-8 against the spread as well, which is kind of incredible. The last time the Jayhawks covered a spread on the football field was over a year ago at Iowa State.
Since then, Kansas has fallen short of the spread by 13 or more points in seven of their last nine games. Kansas lost as a favorite on opening day this season, and they have been 17+-point underdogs in each of their seven games since then. The Red Raiders aren’t a great team, but they’re good enough (and Kansas is terrible enough) to make me think that there is no reason to expect the Jayhawks’ impressive streak of not covering to end at Jones AT&T Stadium.
The Jayhawks are giving up the most points in the entirety of the FBS, allowing teams to thump them to the tune of 49.8 points per game this season. Kansas is also 1-4 ATS in their last five games at Texas Tech and 3-8 ATS in the last 11 overall meetings between these programs. Don’t think twice, when you see a Kansas matchup, take the other team to cover.
Pick: Texas Tech Red Raiders Point Spread (-27) (-111) (Betway)
Arkansas Razorbacks @ Missouri Tigers (-3) (-111) (Betway)
December 5th, 12:00pm, Faurot Field
We haven’t included an over/under total in our parlay for a few weeks now, but we believe now is the time to come back to this kind of wager for our parlay. When the Razorbacks head to Faurot Field on Saturday we are fully expecting a low-scoring game between two teams that have struggled to score and hit overs all season long.
The Arkansas and Missouri offenses have been stinking it up this year, putting up just 25.8 points (8th in SEC, 86th in FBS) and 24.4 points (9th in SEC, 91st in FBS), respectively. The Tiger defense has been much better, however, allowing just 25.0 points per game (5th in SEC, 41st in FBS) and holding three of their last four opponents to 10 points or fewer, which has led the Tigers to hit the under in four straight games and five of the past six.
The Razorbacks have gone under the total in each of their last five games following a straight up loss, and they’ve got the same 5-0 mark over their past five fieldturf games. Missouri has also hit the under in 11 of their last 12 games following an ATS win. The last four meetings in Columbia have all gone under, and the total has gone under in seven of the last eight matchups between these teams. Not to mention Arkansas defensive coordinator Barry Odom can give his unit the inside scoop on how to stop Mizzou since he was the head coach there for five years up until 2019.
Pick: Game Total Points Under (51.5) (-105) (Betway)
Clemson Tigers (-22) (-111) (Betway) @ Virginia Tech Hokies
December 5th, 7:30pm EST, Lane Stadium
We went with the Tigers in Week 12 and Week 13, producing a cancelled game and a cover, respectively, and we’ve decided to go back to the well for the third straight week. Their 22-point spread over the Hokies represents the eighth time this season that betting sites have sent Clemson into a game as 20+-point chalk, so they’re used to it. Dabo Swinney’s boys have been through a lot over the past few weeks, finally returning to the field last Saturday in a 52-17 win over Pitt following a three-week absence.
Clemson came out firing with 31 points in the first quarter and the team’s return to the field was highlighted by the return of starting QB Trevor Lawrence, who had been out for about a month before that. With a berth in the ACC Championship game against Notre Dame (who handed Clemson their only loss earlier this season) on the line, you can expect the same aggressiveness and productivity from Clemson’s pick-your-poison offense against Virginia Tech that we saw last week against the helpless Panthers.
The Hokies started the season off strong, winning three of their first four games, but they have since lost four of their last fives contests, including their last three in a row. Their most recent loss came in the form of a 47-14 butt-kicking as 6.5-point favorites at the hands of the very same Panthers that Clemson just whooped. The Hokies have gone 1-4 ATS in their last five games, and the Tigers have owned this matchup of late, going 4-1 ATS over the past five meetings between these programs.
Pick: Clemson Tigers Point Spread (-22) (-111) (Betway)
After two straight parlay misses, we’re hoping that the third time is indeed the charm this Saturday as we look to win big in Week 14. This time around we’re going to be counting on Clemson’s vast superiority at Lane Stadium against the Hokies and Kansas’ vast inferiority when they take on the Red Raiders in Lubbock as the bedrock of our parlay, with an under wager on two struggling offenses in Arkansas and Missouri added in to help juice the parlay’s odds a bit. Godspeed, and may the odds be ever in our favor.
More NCAA Football Free Pickssee more
The Buckeyes and Crimson Tide are without a blemish on their record. A combined 19-0, which team suffers their first defeat in the national championship?
The Orange Bowl is up for grabs between two teams that have never met in college football. Will it be UNC or Texas A&M coming out on top?
Barely ending the season as a top 25 team, Oregon looks to stun Iowa State. The Cyclones are in search of their first Fiesta Bowl victory this weekend.
With a trip to the national championship on the line, the undefeated Ohio State aim to drop Trevor Lawrence and the feared Clemson Tigers.
Alex is an alumnus of Ryerson University's RTA Sport Media program, a contributing NHL, NBA, and MLB writer in the BetPicks.ca team. He has been writing on sports, betting, and fantasy contests for several years, including pitstops as an NFL Editor for theScore and as one of the lead NBA news writers for fantasy sports site FantasyPros. As a lifelong athlete, bettor, and sports fan, Alex is uniquely qualified to help you reach the sports betting success that you've always dreamed of and your wife never believed you could achieve.