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Group F is the one that everybody will be paying attention to no matter where you’re from or who you’re rooting for. Euro 2020’s Group of Death is the toughest group in the tournament, and it’s not even close. Because of this, it will be the toughest to bet on, but it will also offer the most value since there are three nations that could easily win this group.

There’s France, winners of World Cup 2018, Portugal, winners of Euro 2016, and Germany, perennial contenders in all major international tournaments. The odd country out would be Hungary, though they do get the slight consolation of playing at home in Bucharest.

France

Because of their recent triumph at the 2018 World Cup, the French enter the tournament as the betting favorite to win the Group of Death, boasting +120 odds (888sport) to advance as the top team of Group F. Those are by far the highest odds for any group favorite and could be one of the best early bets on the board right now.

Didier Deschamps has had an embarrassment of riches for a few years now, with a solid mix of talent and experience at the back to go with Paul Pogba and N’Golo Kante in the middle creating chances for their stable of attackers which includes Kylian Mbappe, Anthony Martial, and Kingsley Coman. These guys are a real threat to win the whole thing at +550 odds on 888sport as well.

Germany

Though they haven’t won a major trophy in the last five years like two of their group mates, the Germans have been in top form over the past year or two, dropping just one of their eight qualifying games, a disappointing 4-2 defeat to the Netherlands. Joachim Low is a great guy to have on your touch-line, but is Germany ready to return to their glory days of 2014-2016?

We’d say not quite yet. They should have no trouble following France into the Round of 16 as the runner up in this group (playing all three games at home at Allianz Arena in Munich doesn’t hurt), and a deep run in the knockout stage could be in the cards with games against England or Croatia followed by a likely date with Spain in the quarter-finals. We wouldn’t consider them real threats to lift the trophy, however.

Portugal

After sputtering to a second-place finish in what could be argued was the weakest qualifying group available, the Portuguese now find themselves in the roughest and toughest possible foursome for group play at the Euro 2020. In qualifiers, they lost and drew to Ukraine—who won the group—on top of another draw with Serbia.

Portugal was clearly not in ideal form during that qualification stage, but there is no denying the arsenal of weapons the small Iberian nation is boasting. Cristiano Ronaldo, Diogo Jota, Bruno Fernandes, Bernardo Silva. The list goes on for Portugal. While they won’t win this group, the talent at their disposal makes them a great dark horse candidate to make a run to at least the semifinals.

Hungary

Oh, right, we almost forgot there was a fourth team in the Group of Death. Hungary made its first major tournament since the 1980s when they participated at the last Euro tournament in 2016, and they just barely snuck in again for the 2020 iteration through the play-off route.

Hungary will get home field advantage against Portugal and France, but don’t expect that to help their cause much. It will be quite an experience for Hungarians to come and see the best of the best from France and Portugal play their boys in a Euro match on their turf at Puskas Arena, but hopefully the visitors don’t embarrass the fans’ countrymen too much on the pitch.

Betting On Group F

Don’t be surprised to see all three of the big Group F teams represented in the quarter-finals; the winner of the whole thing very well might come out of the Group of Death. While we like France a lot to win this group, the experience and homefield inspiration for Germany and the overflowing talent at Portugal could easily push either of those nations over the top in Group F.

Germany are offering +138 odds (888sport) to take the group while A Selecao have big-time +450 odds as an attractive dark horse candidate. France is also a great option to win the whole tournament at +550, while Germany (+750) and Portugal (+1200) are both offering huge value as well. Mbappe and Ronaldo are both solid shouts for prop bets on the leading scorer of both Group F and/or of the entire Euro 2020.

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