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The 16th edition of the European Football Championship will be played from June 11th to July 11th and for the first time will take place in 12 different host cities around Europe. The Euro 2020, as it is being called despite being played in 2021, is by far the most highly-anticipated football competition of the year.

Betting On The Top Goalscorer Market

When wagering on the top goalscorer market—one of the most popular outright bets available at Euro 2020—you’re simply choosing which player you think will score the most goals during the four-week tournament.

Obviously, playing more games means getting more chances to score, so the first consideration to make when betting on this market is on which countries you think will advance deep into the knockout stages. Choosing an attacking player would evidently be smart, and thinking about the quality of their group opponents’ defenders is also important. A player who doesn’t have to jockey with too many other quality attacking options for chances is also a plus.

No one’s touching Frenchman Michael Platini’s record of nine goals in one tournament back in 1984: Platini participated in just one tournament and still remains tied as the all-time top Euro goalscorer with Cristiano Ronaldo, who will be playing in his fifth Euros. It seems unlikely that Ronaldo fails to score at least once at Euro 2020, though, so we’ll all be treated to the record strike that breaks his tie at the top with Platini at some point this summer. But will Ronaldo finish as the tournament’s top scorer as he did in 2012 (though he finished tied with five others) or will one of the exciting youngsters take the Euro 2020 scoring title?

Top Five Contenders

Kylian Mbappe → This 22-year-old can run like the wind and finish with the precision of a sniper, he’s the most exciting young talent in football today, and he’s the best pick for this market. Mbappe has found his mark 16 times in 39 caps since joining the French national team in 2017, including four goals at the 2018 World Cup—which France won—as a teenager. The swift youngster has also netted 65 goals in 66 games since joining his club team, Paris St-Germain in 2018. With a strong group around him, the stage is set for a true breakout performance from Mbappe at Euro 2020.

Cristiano Ronaldo → If Ronaldo’s in the tournament, he’s always a threat to score more goals than anyone. The 35-year-old Portuguese is showing no signs of slowing down just yet with 20 goals in 21 apps for Juventus this season and 11 goals in the qualifiers (tied for second). However, a tough Group F draw that includes games against top keepers Manuel Neuer of Germany and Hugo Lloris of France could make it tough for him to put up big numbers this summer. We’d expect him to be in the mix depending on how deep Portugal goes.

Harry Kane → The 27-year-old Englishman is a very popular pick for this market, and for good reason: he was the top goalscorer at the 2018 World Cup, netting six. England’s captain has scored 32 times in 51 caps for his country, including leading the field with 12 goals in the Euro qualifiers. The skipper has also been in great form for his club team of late, with 19 goals in 29 appearances for Tottenham this season. With England playing at home and expected to make a deep run this summer, Kane is a great option for top goalscorer.

Alvaro Morata → Someone who isn’t getting as much attention and likely won’t until after the tournament gets underway is this 28-year-old Spaniard. The striker hasn’t been in the greatest form at Juventus this season, but he was great for Spain at Euro 2016 where he netted three goals. With Spain expected to make a deep run and Morata expected to soak up most of the chances (though the hulking Adama Traore could have something to say about that), he could be a good darkhorse option.

Romelu Lukaku → Like Mbappe, it seems as though this Belgian is due for a bit of a breakout here at Euro 2020. Lukaku started with a pair of goals at Euro 2016, before ramping it up with four goals at the 2018 World Cup—including 14 goals in 14 caps that year—and most recently finishing tied for 10th in the Euro 2020 qualifiers with seven finishes. Belgium is expected to go deep in the tournament, and with Kevin De Bruyne supplying the passes, Lukaku is set up for success this summer.

Others To Consider

There are a few other names we would recommend considering for the top goalscorer outright betting market:

Antoine Greizmann, who was the top goalscorer at the 2016 Euros, is another Frenchman worth considering if defenses focus too much on Mbappe;

Ciro Immobile should be leading the goal-scoring charge for Italy, who can always challenge for a deep run;

Kevin De Bruyne, arguably the best player in the game right now, is always a danger;

Raheem Sterling scored eight goals for England in the qualifiers and is a speedy threat that plays off of Kane brilliantly;

Memphis Depay and Serge Gnabry could also be intriguing options if you think that the Netherlands or Germany, respectively, will make deep runs in the tournament.